Robust sequential search

Author(s)
Karl Schlag, Andriy Zapechelnyuk
Abstract

We study sequential search without priors. Our interest lies in decision rules that are close to being optimal under each prior and after each history. We call these rules robust. The search literature employs optimal rules based on cutoff strategies, and these rules are not robust. We derive robust rules and show that their performance exceeds 1/2 of the optimum against binary independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) environments and 1/4 of the optimum against all i.i.d. environments. This performance improves substantially with the outside option value; for instance, it exceeds 2/3 of the optimum if the outside option exceeds 1/6 of the highest possible alternative.

Organisation(s)
Department of Economics
External organisation(s)
University of St. Andrews
Journal
Theoretical Economics
Volume
16
Pages
1431 - 1470
No. of pages
40
ISSN
1933-6837
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3982/TE3994
Publication date
2020
Peer reviewed
Yes
Austrian Fields of Science 2012
502021 Microeconomics
Keywords
ASJC Scopus subject areas
Economics, Econometrics and Finance(all)
Portal url
https://ucris.univie.ac.at/portal/en/publications/robust-sequential-search(11193145-5b41-4d14-85ff-11ce81743f7b).html