Macroeconomic Shocks and Okun's Law

Author(s)
Alexander Ziegenbein
Abstract

I propose a simple method to estimate a macro shock-specific Okun elasticity, which characterises by how much the unemployment rate falls when output increases by one percentage point because of a specific macroeconomic shock. Using data for the US, I consider government spending, tax, monetary policy, financial, technology, and oil shocks. I find the Okun elasticity is largely stable across shocks, but subtle differences emerge: (i) the elasticity is larger for financial shocks, (ii) the speed at which unemployment adjusts relative to output depends on the shock driving fluctuations.

Organisation(s)
Department of Economics
Journal
Economics Letters
Volume
202
No. of pages
4
ISSN
0165-1765
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2021.109826
Publication date
05-2021
Peer reviewed
Yes
Austrian Fields of Science 2012
502018 Macroeconomics
Keywords
ASJC Scopus subject areas
Economics and Econometrics, Finance
Sustainable Development Goals
SDG 8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth
Portal url
https://ucris.univie.ac.at/portal/en/publications/macroeconomic-shocks-and-okuns-law(0df85a5d-5555-45ae-85b4-42a4079d0c3d).html