Simple bets to elicit private signals

Author(s)
Aurelien Baillon, Yan Xu
Abstract

This paper introduces two simple betting mechanisms, Top-Flop and Threshold betting, to elicit unverifiable information from crowds. Agents are offered bets on the rating of an item about which they received a private signal versus that of a random item. We characterize conditions for the chosen bet to reveal the agents’ private signal even if the underlying ratings are biased. We further provide micro-economic foundations of the ratings, which are endogenously determined by the actions of other agents in a game setting. Our mechanisms relax standard assumptions of the literature, such as common prior, and homogeneous and risk neutral agents.

Organisation(s)
Department of Economics
External organisation(s)
Erasmus University Rotterdam
Journal
Theoretical Economics
Volume
16
Pages
777-797
No. of pages
21
ISSN
1933-6837
Publication date
2021
Peer reviewed
Yes
Austrian Fields of Science 2012
502045 Behavioural economics, 502047 Economic theory
Keywords
ASJC Scopus subject areas
Economics, Econometrics and Finance(all)
Portal url
https://ucris.univie.ac.at/portal/en/publications/simple-bets-to-elicit-private-signals(e3390a57-bb3f-40c6-8cc8-6c028981dd76).html