Public Infrastructure Investment, Output Dynamics, and Balanced Budget Fiscal Rules

Author(s)
Pedro Bom, Jenny Ligthart
Abstract

We study the dynamic macroeconomic effects of public infrastructure investment under a balanced budget fiscal rule, using an overlapping generations model of a small open economy. The government finances public investment by employing distortionary labor taxes. The balanced budget rule implies a negative short-run output multiplier that exceeds (in absolute terms) the positive long-run output multiplier. Larger public capital spillovers sharpen the intertemporal output tradeoff. In contrast to conventional results regarding public investment shocks, we obtain dampened cyclical responses for plausible parameter values. The cyclical dynamics arise from the interaction between the labor tax rate, the tax base, and the intergenerational spillover effects. We show that financing scenarios involving public debt creation can substantially reduce the short-run output contraction and the transitional macroeconomic fluctuations induced by public investment.

Organisation(s)
Department of Economics
External organisation(s)
Tilburg University, University of Groningen
Journal
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Volume
40
Pages
334-354
No. of pages
21
ISSN
0165-1889
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2014.01.018
Publication date
03-2014
Peer reviewed
Yes
Austrian Fields of Science 2012
502018 Macroeconomics
Keywords
ASJC Scopus subject areas
Control and Optimization, Applied Mathematics, Economics and Econometrics
Sustainable Development Goals
SDG 9 - Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure
Portal url
https://ucrisportal.univie.ac.at/en/publications/059c0106-4ee2-4a47-a7e4-754b168a5c1b