The selection of migrants and returnees in Romania: Evidence and long-run implications

Author(s)
Karin Mayr, J. William Ambrosini, Peri Giovanni, Dragos Radu
Abstract

This paper uses census and survey data to identify the wage earning ability and the selection of recent Romanian migrants and returnees on observable characteristics. We construct measures of selection across skill groups and estimate the average and the skill-specific premium for migration and return for three typical destinations of Romanian migrants after 1990. Once we account for migration costs, we find evidence that the selection and sorting of migrants are driven by different returns to skills in countries of destination. Our identification strategy for the effects of work experience abroad permits a cautious causal interpretation of the premium to return migration. This premium increases with migrants' skills and drives the positive selection of returnees relative to non-migrants. Based on the compatibility of the results with rationality in the migration decisions, we simulate a rational-agent model of education, migration and return. Our results suggest that for a source country like Romania relatively high rates of temporary migration might have positive long-run effects on average skills and wages.

Organisation(s)
Department of Economics
External organisation(s)
Amazon, University of California, Davis, King's College London
Journal
The Economics of Transition
Volume
23
Pages
753 - 793
No. of pages
41
ISSN
0967-0750
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/ecot.12077
Publication date
10-2015
Peer reviewed
Yes
Austrian Fields of Science 2012
502053 Economics, 502008 Development economics
Keywords
ASJC Scopus subject areas
Economics and Econometrics
Portal url
https://ucris.univie.ac.at/portal/en/publications/the-selection-of-migrants-and-returnees-in-romania-evidence-and-longrun-implications(3e19ef19-bec8-4514-982e-757c5eafdb3a).html