Evaluating the Effectiveness of Campaign Speeches: Evidence from the First National Speaking Tour
- Author(s)
- Johannes Buggle, Stephanos Vlachos
- Abstract
This paper examines the effect of campaign visits in the context of the unique onesided nationwide speaking tour by a US Presidential candidate. During the 1896 election, the Democratic candidate went on a whistle stop train tour, while the Republican followed a frontporch campaign. To identify the causal effect of campaign speeches, we exploit several estimation strategies, including a within-county difference-in-differences design and a neighbor-pair fixed effect estimator. We find that one speech given by the Democratic candidate increased his vote share by about one percentage point on average. This increase stems from the persuasion of previously non-aligned industrial workers.
- Organisation(s)
- Department of Economics
- External organisation(s)
- Université de Lausanne
- No. of pages
- 20
- Publication date
- 09-2020
- Austrian Fields of Science 2012
- 502027 Political economy
- Keywords
- Portal url
- https://ucrisportal.univie.ac.at/en/publications/85274807-181e-4ae0-ba70-8a43fb05df75